Journal article
Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision
- Abstract:
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Members in ensemble forecasts differ due to the representations of initial uncertainties and model uncertainties. The inclusion of stochastic schemes to represent model uncertainties has improved the probabilistic skill of the ECMWF ensemble by increasing reliability and reducing the error of the ensemble mean. Recent progress, challenges and future directions regarding stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF are described in this paper. The coming years are likely to see a...
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- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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- Files:
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(Accepted manuscript, pdf, 11.4MB)
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.1002/qj.3094
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Authors
Funding
+ European Research Council
More from this funder
Funding agency for:
Juricke, S
Grant:
NE/J00586X/1
+ Natural Environment Research Council
More from this funder
Funding agency for:
Juricke, S
Grant:
NE/J00586X/1
+ European Research Council
More from this funder
Funding agency for:
Smolarkiewicz, P
Grant:
320375
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Bibliographic Details
- Publisher:
- Wiley Publisher's website
- Journal:
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Journal website
- Volume:
- 143
- Issue:
- 707
- Pages:
- 2315-2339
- Publication date:
- 2017-09-26
- Acceptance date:
- 2017-06-07
- DOI:
- EISSN:
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1477-870X
- ISSN:
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0035-9009
- Source identifiers:
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700160
Item Description
- Keywords:
- Pubs id:
-
pubs:700160
- UUID:
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uuid:fa37b393-4f18-4ee6-b523-357dfe610649
- Local pid:
- pubs:700160
- Deposit date:
- 2017-06-12
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Royal Meteorological Society
- Copyright date:
- 2017
- Notes:
- © 2017 Royal Meteorological Society. This is the author accepted manuscript following peer review version of the article. The final version is available online from Wiley at: 10.1002/qj.3094
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